1
28%
Home Win
3.51
X
27%
Draw
3.7
2
45%
Away Win
2.25
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wisla Plock an expected 1.0 goals and Lech Poznan an expected 1.4 goals. Wisla Plock have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Lech Poznan at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
12.2%
1:0
9.2%
0:0
8.8%
1:2
8.8%
0:2
8.4%
2:1
6.7%
2:0
4.8%
2:2
4.6%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.9%
3:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Wisla Plock | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 1 |
| 46 | Points | 60 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Wisla Plock at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Lech Poznan Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Wisla Plock
D
L
L
Lech Poznan
W
W
W
