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Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Motor Lublin
  • Cracovia Krakow 1–2 Motor Lublin
  • Motor Lublin 2–2 Zaglebie Lubin
  • Motor Lublin 3–2 Śląsk Wrocław
  • Motor Lublin 0–0 Gornik Zabrze
  • Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
  • Wisla Plock 2–2 Piast Gliwice
  • Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla Plock
  • Wisla Plock 1–0 Radomiak Radom
  • Zaglebie Lubin 0–2 Wisla Plock
  • Wisla Plock 3–1 Cracovia Krakow
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Motor Lublin 34 · Wisla Plock 34. Data saved: 2026-11-05 01:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Motor Lublin 51% · 2026-11-05 01:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.19
Model goal expectation · 2 1.06
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 45%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Motor Lublin 1.19 · Wisla Plock 1.06.
1 39% · X 29% · 2 32%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
1:0 12.6%
0:1 11.1%
0:0 10.5%
2:1 7.9%
2:0 7.5%
1:2 7%
0:2 5.9%
2:2 4.2%
3:1 3.2%
3:0 3%
1:3 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Motor Lublin Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56

Team Comparison

Motor Lublin Wisla Plock
12 League Position 8
43 Points 46
29% Win % 35%
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Motor Lublin at Home
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate
Wisla Plock Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Motor Lublin
W D W D L
Wisla Plock
D L W W W

Head to Head

10 May 2026 ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock 0 : 4 Motor Lublin
W