1
32%
Home Win
3.11
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
43%
Away Win
2.35
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Widzew Łódź an expected 1.3 goals and Lech Poznan an expected 1.5 goals. Widzew Łódź have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Lech Poznan at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
9.5%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8.1%
2:1
7.6%
0:2
7.1%
0:0
6.4%
2:2
5.6%
2:0
5.1%
1:3
4.4%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Widzew Łódź | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 1 |
| 42 | Points | 60 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Widzew Łódź at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Lech Poznan Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Widzew Łódź
D
W
W
Lech Poznan
W
W
W
