Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 39%
Home Win 2.56
X 30%
Draw 3.33
2 31%
Away Win 3.24
xG Home 1.12
xG Away 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 42%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Widzew Łódź an expected 1.1 goals and Korona Kielce an expected 1.0 goals. Widzew Łódź have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Korona Kielce at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14%
1:1 13.4%
0:0 12.5%
0:1 12%
2:0 7.8%
2:1 7.5%
1:2 6.5%
0:2 5.8%
2:2 3.6%
3:0 2.9%
3:1 2.8%
1:3 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Widzew Łódź Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Widzew Łódź Korona Kielce
14 League Position 11
42 Points 43
35% Win % 32%
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Widzew Łódź at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Korona Kielce Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Widzew Łódź
D W W
Korona Kielce
L L