1
41%
Home Win
2.46
X
31%
Draw
3.22
2
28%
Away Win
3.53
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
0.86
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives West Brom an expected 1.1 goals and Charlton an expected 0.9 goals. West Brom have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Charlton at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.5%
0:0
14.3%
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.2%
2:0
8.5%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
5.7%
0:2
5.2%
2:2
3.1%
3:0
3.1%
3:1
2.6%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | West Brom Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| West Brom | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | League Position | 19 |
| 51 | Points | 53 |
| 28% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
West Brom at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Charlton Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
West Brom
D
W
Charlton
L
D
