West Brom vs Blackburn Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Championship
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.05
xG Away 0.82
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 36%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives West Brom an expected 1.1 goals and Blackburn an expected 0.8 goals. West Brom have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Blackburn at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.2%
0:0 15.4%
1:1 13.3%
0:1 12.6%
2:0 8.5%
2:1 7%
1:2 5.4%
0:2 5.2%
3:0 3%
2:2 2.9%
3:1 2.5%
1:3 1.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick West Brom Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

West Brom Blackburn
21 League Position 20
51 Points 52
28% Win % 28%
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

West Brom at Home
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate
Blackburn Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

West Brom
D W D W
Blackburn
D L W