1
19%
Home Win
5.31
X
22%
Draw
4.64
2
60%
Away Win
1.68
xG Home
1.00
xG Away
1.96
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Werder Bremen an expected 1.0 goals and RB Leipzig an expected 2.0 goals. Werder Bremen have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and RB Leipzig at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
0:1
10.1%
1:2
10%
0:2
9.9%
1:3
6.5%
0:3
6.5%
1:0
5.2%
0:0
5.2%
2:1
5.1%
2:2
5%
2:3
3.3%
1:4
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Leipzig Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Werder Bremen | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 3 |
| 32 | Points | 65 |
| 24% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Werder Bremen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
RB Leipzig Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Werder Bremen
L
W
RB Leipzig
L
W
L
