FOOTBALL DATA
Search
Display
Site layout
EN

Watford vs Middlesbrough — Prediction

Watford Watford
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Watford
  • Watford 1–0 Lincoln
  • Norwich City 3–2 Watford
  • Wolves 1–0 Watford
  • Watford 2–0 Charlton
  • Cardiff 5–1 Watford
Middlesbrough
  • Wrexham 2–0 Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough 3–0 Charlton
  • Bolton 1–5 Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff
  • Stoke City 2–3 Middlesbrough
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Watford 46 · Middlesbrough 46. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Middlesbrough 40% · 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.98
Model goal expectation · 2 1.57
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 49%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Watford 0.98 · Middlesbrough 1.57.
1 23% · X 25% · 2 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.3%
1:1 12%
0:2 9.7%
1:2 9.4%
0:0 7.8%
1:0 7.6%
2:1 5.9%
0:3 5.1%
1:3 4.9%
2:2 4.6%
2:0 3.7%
2:3 2.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Middlesbrough Win
Probability 51%
Predicted Odds 1.96

Team Comparison

Watford Middlesbrough
16 League Position 5
57 Points 80
30% Win % 48%
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02

Venue Form

Watford at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Middlesbrough Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Watford
W L L W L
Middlesbrough
L W W D W

More Championship Predictions

Derby vs Bolton
Fri 06 Nov
Birmingham vs Swansea
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 42%
Blackburn vs West Ham
Sat 07 Nov
Bristol City vs Norwich City
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 38%
Cardiff vs Burnley
Sat 07 Nov

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Match pages

Open fixtures, match information and available analysis.

Explore →

Football predictions

Explore the available match catalogue and its filters.

Explore →

Prediction results

Inspect available settled selections and their outcomes.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.