1
16%
Home Win
6.41
X
20%
Draw
5.04
2
65%
Away Win
1.55
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
2.12
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Watford an expected 0.9 goals and Coventry an expected 2.1 goals. Watford have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Coventry at 65%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.6%
0:1
10%
1:2
9.9%
1:1
9.3%
0:3
7.5%
1:3
7%
0:0
4.7%
2:2
4.6%
1:0
4.4%
2:1
4.4%
0:4
4%
1:4
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Coventry Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| Watford | Coventry | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 1 |
| 57 | Points | 95 |
| 30% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.11 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
Venue Form
Watford at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Coventry Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Watford
W
L
L
Coventry
W
L
