1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Watford an expected 1.2 goals and Charlton an expected 1.0 goals. Watford have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Charlton at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
1:1
13.3%
0:0
11.5%
0:1
11%
2:0
8.3%
2:1
8%
1:2
6.4%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
3.8%
3:0
3.3%
3:1
3.2%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Watford Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Watford | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 19 |
| 57 | Points | 53 |
| 30% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Watford at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Charlton Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Watford
L
W
L
L
Charlton
L
L
L
D
