Viborg vs FC Midtjylland Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 19 Oct 2026 · Superliga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.11
xG Away 1.98
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Viborg an expected 1.1 goals and FC Midtjylland an expected 2.0 goals. Viborg have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and FC Midtjylland at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10%
1:2 9.9%
0:1 9%
0:2 8.9%
1:3 6.5%
0:3 5.9%
2:1 5.5%
2:2 5.5%
1:0 5.1%
0:0 4.6%
2:3 3.6%
1:4 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FC Midtjylland Win
Probability 58%
Predicted Odds 1.72
Market Odds 1.83

Team Comparison

Viborg FC Midtjylland
5 League Position 2
44 Points 60
41% Win % 50%
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13

Venue Form

Viborg at Home
W3 D0 L2 (5 games)
60% win rate
FC Midtjylland Away
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Viborg
W W L W L
FC Midtjylland
D W D D W