AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Superliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.81
xG Away 1.34
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 62%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives AC Horsens an expected 1.8 goals and Sonderjyske an expected 1.3 goals. AC Horsens have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Sonderjyske at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.4%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 7.7%
2:0 7%
1:2 7%
2:2 6.3%
0:1 5.7%
3:1 5.7%
0:0 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 3.8%
3:2 3.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick AC Horsens Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Venue Form

AC Horsens at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Sonderjyske Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

AC Horsens
D D
Sonderjyske
D W L