1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.99
xG Away
0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aarhus GF an expected 2.0 goals and Viborg an expected 0.8 goals. Aarhus GF have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Viborg at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.7%
2:0
11.6%
1:1
9.9%
2:1
9.8%
3:0
7.7%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
5.9%
0:1
5%
1:2
4.2%
2:2
4.2%
4:0
3.8%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Aarhus GF | Viborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 5 |
| 67 | Points | 44 |
| 59% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Aarhus GF at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Viborg Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Aarhus GF
D
W
D
D
Viborg
D
L
D
L
