1
26%
Home Win
3.85
X
21%
Draw
4.81
2
53%
Away Win
1.88
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
2.14
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Utrecht an expected 1.5 goals and PSV Eindhoven an expected 2.1 goals. Utrecht have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and PSV Eindhoven at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.1%
1:1
8.6%
2:2
6.7%
1:3
6.5%
0:2
6.3%
2:1
6.2%
0:1
5.9%
2:3
4.7%
0:3
4.5%
1:0
4%
1:4
3.5%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PSV Eindhoven Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Utrecht | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 53 | Points | 84 |
| 44% | Win % | 79% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.97 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Utrecht at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
PSV Eindhoven Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Utrecht
W
W
PSV Eindhoven
W
D
