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Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Excelsior
  • Excelsior 0–9 FC Twente
  • Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior
  • Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior
  • Ajax 2–2 Excelsior
  • Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
  • Cambuur 4–0 GO Ahead Eagles
  • GO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar
  • PEC Zwolle 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles
  • NEC Nijmegen 1–1 GO Ahead Eagles
  • GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 Groningen
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Excelsior 34 · GO Ahead Eagles 34. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: GO Ahead Eagles 38% · 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.34
Model goal expectation · 2 1.53
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 58%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Excelsior 1.34 · GO Ahead Eagles 1.53.
1 33% · X 25% · 2 42%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:2 8.9%
0:1 8.7%
2:1 7.8%
1:0 7.6%
0:2 6.6%
2:2 6%
0:0 5.7%
2:0 5.1%
1:3 4.5%
3:1 3.5%
0:3 3.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome GO Ahead Eagles Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38

Team Comparison

Excelsior GO Ahead Eagles
13 League Position 12
38 Points 38
29% Win % 24%
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Excelsior at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
GO Ahead Eagles Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Excelsior
L L L D L
GO Ahead Eagles
L W L D D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.