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Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Fortuna Sittard
  • Feyenoord 1–1 Fortuna Sittard
  • Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
  • Willem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard
  • Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax
Telstar
  • Telstar 4–2 Utrecht
  • GO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar
  • Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord
  • AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar
  • Heerenveen 0–0 Telstar
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Fortuna Sittard 34 · Telstar 34. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Fortuna Sittard 44% · 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.59
Model goal expectation · 2 1.56
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 63%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Fortuna Sittard 1.59 · Telstar 1.56.
1 39% · X 24% · 2 38%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.7%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 8.3%
1:0 6.8%
0:1 6.7%
2:2 6.6%
2:0 5.4%
0:2 5.2%
3:1 4.5%
0:0 4.3%
1:3 4.3%
3:2 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Fortuna Sittard Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56

Team Comparison

Fortuna Sittard Telstar
11 League Position 14
39 Points 37
32% Win % 26%
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62

Venue Form

Fortuna Sittard at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Telstar Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Fortuna Sittard
D W D W L
Telstar
W L L L D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.