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Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen — Prediction

Utrecht Utrecht
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Eredivisie
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Eredivisie
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Utrecht
  • Telstar 4–2 Utrecht
  • Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
  • FC Twente 1–2 Utrecht
  • Utrecht 3–1 Willem II
  • Feyenoord 5–0 Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
  • NEC Nijmegen 3–1 Omonia Nicosia
  • Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Groningen
  • NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
  • NEC Nijmegen 1–1 GO Ahead Eagles
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Utrecht 34 · NEC Nijmegen 34. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: NEC Nijmegen 45% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.71
Model goal expectation · 2 1.63
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 66%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Utrecht 1.71 · NEC Nijmegen 1.63.
1 40% · X 23% · 2 37%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.9%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 8%
2:2 6.9%
1:0 6%
0:1 5.7%
2:0 5.2%
3:1 4.8%
0:2 4.7%
1:3 4.4%
3:2 3.9%
2:3 3.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Utrecht Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5

Team Comparison

Utrecht NEC Nijmegen
6 League Position 3
53 Points 59
44% Win % 47%
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 2.26
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Utrecht at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
NEC Nijmegen Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Utrecht
L D W W L
NEC Nijmegen
W L D D D

More Eredivisie Predictions

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 39%
Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 42%
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
Sat 07 Nov
Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven
Sun 08 Nov
Heerenveen vs Feyenoord
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 47%

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01

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02

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03

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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