1
48%
Home Win
2.08
X
30%
Draw
3.3
2
22%
Away Win
4.6
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Urawa an expected 1.2 goals and Fagiano Okayama an expected 0.7 goals. Urawa have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Fagiano Okayama at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.8%
0:0
14.7%
1:1
12.6%
2:0
10.7%
0:1
10.4%
2:1
7.6%
1:2
4.5%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
3.7%
3:1
3.1%
2:2
2.7%
4:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Urawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Urawa | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 13 |
| 59 | Points | 45 |
| 42% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Urawa at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Fagiano Okayama Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Urawa
L
W
W
L
W
Fagiano Okayama
W
W
L
