U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Querétaro Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 · Liga MX
1 68%
Home Win 1.48
X 20%
Draw 4.89
2 12%
Away Win 8.31
xG Home 1.95
xG Away 0.68
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 42%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.9 goals and Querétaro an expected 0.7 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Querétaro at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.1%
2:0 13.8%
1:1 9.5%
2:1 9.3%
3:0 8.9%
0:0 7.2%
3:1 6%
0:1 4.9%
4:0 4.4%
1:2 3.2%
2:2 3.1%
4:1 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Probability 68%
Predicted Odds 1.47
Market Odds 1.56

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Querétaro
1 League Position 11
36 Points 20
59% Win % 24%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Querétaro Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L W D W
Querétaro
W W D