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Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Tigres UANL
  • Pachuca 1–0 Tigres UANL
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL 0–2 León FC
  • Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL 1–0 Puebla
Cruz Azul
  • Cruz Azul 2–1 León FC
  • Querétaro 1–3 Cruz Azul
  • Pachuca 1–2 Cruz Azul
  • Cruz Azul 5–0 FC Juarez
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–3 Cruz Azul
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Tigres UANL 17 · Cruz Azul 17. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Tigres UANL 42% · 2026-11-06 01:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.38
Model goal expectation · 2 1.31
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Tigres UANL 1.38 · Cruz Azul 1.31.
1 39% · X 26% · 2 35%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
1:0 9.4%
0:1 8.9%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 8%
0:0 6.8%
2:0 6.5%
0:2 5.8%
2:2 5.5%
3:1 3.9%
1:3 3.5%
3:0 3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Tigres UANL Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56

Team Comparison

Tigres UANL Cruz Azul
7 League Position 3
25 Points 33
41% Win % 53%
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

Tigres UANL at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Cruz Azul Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Tigres UANL
L D L D W
Cruz Azul
W W W W D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.