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Atlas vs Pachuca — Prediction

Atlas Atlas
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Pachuca Pachuca

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Atlas
  • Atletico San Luis 0–1 Atlas
  • Atlas 1–0 Puebla
  • Atlas 2–5 Club América
  • Necaxa 0–2 Atlas
  • Club Tijuana 2–3 Atlas
Pachuca
  • Pachuca 1–0 Tigres UANL
  • Club América 1–2 Pachuca
  • Pachuca 1–2 Cruz Azul
  • Monterrey 2–1 Pachuca
  • Santos Laguna 1–0 Pachuca
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Atlas 17 · Pachuca 17. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Pachuca 43% · 2026-11-06 01:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.83
Model goal expectation · 2 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Atlas 0.83 · Pachuca 1.05.
1 28% · X 32% · 2 40%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 16%
0:0 15.2%
1:1 13.3%
1:0 12.6%
0:2 8.4%
1:2 7%
2:1 5.5%
2:0 5.2%
0:3 3%
2:2 2.9%
1:3 2.5%
3:1 1.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Pachuca Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5

Team Comparison

Atlas Pachuca
6 League Position 4
26 Points 31
41% Win % 53%
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Atlas at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Pachuca Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Atlas
W W L W W
Pachuca
W W L L L

More Liga MX Predictions

Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 48%
Necaxa vs Club Tijuana
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 41%
Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna
Sat 07 Nov
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 39%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.