U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Pachuca Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 18 May 2026 · Liga MX
1 55%
Home Win 1.8
X 23%
Draw 4.27
2 21%
Away Win 4.72
xG Home 1.76
xG Away 0.99
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.8 goals and Pachuca an expected 1.0 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Pachuca at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 11.2%
1:1 11.1%
2:0 9.9%
2:1 9.8%
0:0 6.3%
0:1 6.3%
3:0 5.8%
3:1 5.8%
1:2 5.5%
2:2 4.9%
0:2 3.1%
3:2 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Pachuca Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Pachuca
1 League Position 4
36 Points 31
59% Win % 53%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Pachuca Away
W3 D0 L2 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L W D W
Pachuca
W L W L W

Head to Head

15 May 2026 Liga MX
CF Pachuca 1 : 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L
25 Apr 2026 Liga MX
CF Pachuca 0 : 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
21 Nov 2025 Liga MX
CF Pachuca 3 : 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L