U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 24 Aug 2026 · Liga MX
1 72%
Home Win 1.38
X 17%
Draw 5.87
2 10%
Away Win 9.55
xG Home 2.32
xG Away 0.76
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 2.3 goals and Necaxa an expected 0.8 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Necaxa at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.4%
1:0 10.7%
3:0 9.6%
2:1 9.4%
1:1 8.1%
3:1 7.3%
4:0 5.6%
0:0 4.6%
4:1 4.2%
2:2 3.5%
0:1 3.5%
1:2 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Probability 72%
Predicted Odds 1.39
Market Odds 1.48

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Necaxa
1 League Position 15
36 Points 18
59% Win % 29%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47

Venue Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Necaxa Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L W D W
Necaxa
L