U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club América Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 11 May 2026 · Liga MX
1 56%
Home Win 1.79
X 25%
Draw 3.96
2 19%
Away Win 5.31
xG Home 1.58
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.6 goals and Club América an expected 0.8 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Club América at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.7%
1:1 11.7%
2:0 11.6%
0:0 9.3%
2:1 9.2%
0:1 7.4%
3:0 6.1%
3:1 4.9%
1:2 4.7%
2:2 3.7%
0:2 2.9%
4:0 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Club América
1 League Position 8
36 Points 25
59% Win % 41%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Club América Away
W2 D2 L0 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L W D W
Club América
D W D W