1
10%
Home Win
10.38
X
32%
Draw
3.1
2
58%
Away Win
1.72
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS
18%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Türkiye an expected 0.3 goals and Paraguay an expected 1.1 goals. Türkiye have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Paraguay at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
27%
0:0
23.5%
0:2
15.5%
1:1
8.1%
1:0
7%
0:3
5.9%
1:2
4.7%
1:3
1.8%
0:4
1.7%
2:1
1.2%
2:0
1.1%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Türkiye Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Türkiye | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 0 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 4 |
