1
48%
Home Win
2.08
X
24%
Draw
4.25
2
28%
Away Win
3.52
xG Home
1.74
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spain an expected 1.7 goals and Cape Verde an expected 1.3 goals. Spain have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cape Verde at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.4%
2:0
7.3%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.2%
2:2
6.1%
3:1
5.5%
0:0
4.8%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Venue Form
Spain at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Cape Verde Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Spain
D
Cape Verde
D
