Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 15 Jun 2026 · World Cup
1 11%
Home Win 8.77
X 35%
Draw 2.85
2 53%
Away Win 1.87
xG Home 0.32
xG Away 1.03
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
BTTS 18%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Saudi Arabia an expected 0.3 goals and Uruguay an expected 1.0 goals. Saudi Arabia have a 11% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Uruguay at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 84%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 26.7%
0:0 25.8%
0:2 13.8%
1:1 8.6%
1:0 8.3%
0:3 4.7%
1:2 4.4%
1:3 1.5%
2:1 1.4%
2:0 1.3%
0:4 1.2%
2:2 0.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Uruguay Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Saudi Arabia Uruguay
4 League Position 3
2 Points 2
0% Win % 0%
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33

Head to Head

20 Jun 2018 World Cup
Uruguay 1 : 0 Saudi Arabia
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