1
55%
Home Win
1.81
X
27%
Draw
3.72
2
18%
Away Win
5.63
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Belgium an expected 1.4 goals and Egypt an expected 0.7 goals. Belgium have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Egypt at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.1%
2:0
12.4%
0:0
11.8%
1:1
11.8%
2:1
8.5%
0:1
8.1%
3:0
6%
3:1
4.1%
1:2
4.1%
2:2
2.9%
0:2
2.8%
4:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Belgium Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Belgium | Egypt | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 5 | Points | 5 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
Belgium
1 : 2
Egypt
L
Belgium
3 : 0
Egypt
W