1
37%
Home Win
2.68
X
27%
Draw
3.77
2
36%
Away Win
2.77
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toluca an expected 1.3 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.3 goals. Toluca have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
9.9%
0:1
9.7%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
8%
0:0
7.6%
2:0
6.4%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Toluca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Toluca | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 1 |
| 30 | Points | 36 |
| 47% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Toluca at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3
D2
L1
(6 games)
Recent Form
Toluca
L
L
W
W
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
D
L
D
W
Head to Head
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2 : 3
Toluca
W
Toluca
1 : 1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1 : 1
Toluca
D
