1
72%
Home Win
1.4
X
19%
Draw
5.21
2
9%
Away Win
10.89
xG Home
1.99
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tigres UANL an expected 2.0 goals and Puebla an expected 0.5 goals. Tigres UANL have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Puebla at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.8%
2:0
15.7%
3:0
10.4%
1:1
8.6%
2:1
8.6%
0:0
7.9%
3:1
5.7%
4:0
5.1%
0:1
4.3%
4:1
2.8%
1:2
2.4%
2:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigres UANL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Tigres UANL | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 17 |
| 25 | Points | 13 |
| 41% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Tigres UANL at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Puebla Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Tigres UANL
W
W
Puebla
W
L
W
L
L
