1
66%
Home Win
1.51
X
21%
Draw
4.74
2
13%
Away Win
7.96
xG Home
1.89
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.9 goals and Querétaro an expected 0.7 goals. Guadalajara Chivas have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Querétaro at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.5%
2:0
13.7%
1:1
9.8%
2:1
9.3%
3:0
8.7%
0:0
7.7%
3:1
5.9%
0:1
5.2%
4:0
4.1%
1:2
3.3%
2:2
3.1%
4:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Guadalajara Chivas | Querétaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 11 |
| 36 | Points | 20 |
| 65% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Guadalajara Chivas at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
Querétaro Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Guadalajara Chivas
W
W
L
W
D
Querétaro
W
W
W
D
