1
16%
Home Win
6.06
X
19%
Draw
5.18
2
64%
Away Win
1.56
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
2.22
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos Laguna an expected 1.0 goals and Pachuca an expected 2.2 goals. Santos Laguna have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Pachuca at 64%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.8%
0:2
9.5%
1:1
8.9%
0:1
8.5%
1:3
7.3%
0:3
7%
2:2
5.1%
2:1
4.6%
1:4
4.1%
1:0
4%
0:4
3.9%
0:0
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Santos Laguna | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 4 |
| 12 | Points | 31 |
| 18% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Santos Laguna at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Pachuca Away
W4
D0
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Santos Laguna
W
W
L
Pachuca
W
W
L
W
L
