1
48%
Home Win
2.08
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
29%
Away Win
3.48
xG Home
1.78
xG Away
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tianjin Teda an expected 1.8 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.3 goals. Tianjin Teda have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Yunnan Yukun at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.9%
2:0
7.1%
1:2
7%
2:2
6.3%
0:1
5.9%
3:1
5.6%
0:0
4.4%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
3.9%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tianjin Teda Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Tianjin Teda | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 5 |
| 14 | Points | 25 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.84 |
Venue Form
Tianjin Teda at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Tianjin Teda
W
W
L
Yunnan Yukun
L
D
