1
53%
Home Win
1.88
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
24%
Away Win
4.25
xG Home
1.79
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Telstar an expected 1.8 goals and Sparta Rotterdam an expected 1.1 goals. Telstar have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Sparta Rotterdam at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
1:0
9.9%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
8.8%
0:1
6.1%
1:2
6.1%
3:1
5.8%
0:0
5.5%
2:2
5.4%
3:0
5.3%
0:2
3.4%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Telstar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Telstar | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 10 |
| 37 | Points | 43 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
Venue Form
Telstar at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Sparta Rotterdam Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Telstar
W
W
Sparta Rotterdam
L
L