1
46%
Home Win
2.16
X
29%
Draw
3.51
2
25%
Away Win
3.98
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Swansea an expected 1.3 goals and Charlton an expected 0.9 goals. Swansea have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Charlton at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.8%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
11.4%
0:1
10%
2:0
9.6%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
5.6%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
2:2
3.7%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Swansea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Swansea | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 19 |
| 64 | Points | 53 |
| 39% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Swansea at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Charlton Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Swansea
D
W
L
Charlton
L
L
D
