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Swansea vs Blackburn — Prediction

Swansea Swansea
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Blackburn Blackburn

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Swansea
  • QPR 5–0 Swansea
  • Lincoln 1–2 Swansea
  • Swansea 3–1 Burnley
  • Southampton 3–1 Swansea
  • Swansea 0–0 Wrexham
Blackburn
  • Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham
  • Portsmouth FC 2–2 Blackburn
  • Blackburn 3–1 Millwall
  • Blackburn 1–2 Sheffield United
  • Preston 2–1 Blackburn
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Swansea 46 · Blackburn 46. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Swansea 50% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 46%
Home Win 2.17
X 29%
Draw 3.42
2 25%
Away Win 4.05
Model goal expectation · 1 1.25
Model goal expectation · 2 0.83
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 40%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Swansea 1.25 · Blackburn 0.83.
1 46% · X 29% · 2 25%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.6%
1:1 13%
0:0 12.5%
0:1 10.4%
2:0 9.7%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 5.4%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.1%
3:1 3.4%
2:2 3.4%
1:3 1.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Swansea Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Swansea Blackburn
11 League Position 20
64 Points 52
39% Win % 28%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22

Venue Form

Swansea at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Blackburn Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Swansea
L W W L D
Blackburn
W D W L L

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