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Middlesbrough vs Charlton — Prediction

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Charlton Charlton

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Middlesbrough
  • Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough
  • Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall
  • Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City
  • Crystal Palace 3–0 Middlesbrough
  • QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough
Charlton
  • Charlton 1–3 Norwich City
  • Cardiff 3–1 Charlton
  • Charlton 0–0 Portsmouth FC
  • Charlton 0–0 QPR
  • Stoke City 4–0 Charlton
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Middlesbrough 46 · Charlton 46. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Middlesbrough 58% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 60%
Home Win 1.67
X 24%
Draw 4.11
2 16%
Away Win 6.41
Model goal expectation · 1 1.64
Model goal expectation · 2 0.69
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 40%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Middlesbrough 1.64 · Charlton 0.69.
1 60% · X 24% · 2 16%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.9%
2:0 13%
1:1 11%
0:0 9.7%
2:1 9%
3:0 7.1%
0:1 6.8%
3:1 4.9%
1:2 3.8%
2:2 3.1%
4:0 2.9%
0:2 2.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Middlesbrough Win
Probability 60%
Predicted Odds 1.67

Team Comparison

Middlesbrough Charlton
5 League Position 19
80 Points 53
48% Win % 28%
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.02 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26

Venue Form

Middlesbrough at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Charlton Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Middlesbrough
D D W L W
Charlton
L L D D L

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