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Stoke City vs Preston — Prediction

Stoke City Stoke City
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Preston Preston

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Stoke City
  • Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
  • Stoke City 2–1 Sheffield United
  • Watford 1–2 Stoke City
  • Cardiff 1–1 Stoke City
  • Stoke City 4–0 Charlton
Preston
  • Preston 1–1 West Brom
  • QPR 2–2 Preston
  • Preston 0–1 Lincoln
  • Watford 2–1 Preston
  • Preston 2–1 Blackburn
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Stoke City 46 · Preston 46. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Stoke City 39% · 2026-10-31 01:01 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 41%
Home Win 2.45
X 28%
Draw 3.52
2 31%
Away Win 3.25
Model goal expectation · 1 1.24
Model goal expectation · 2 1.03
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 46%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Stoke City 1.24 · Preston 1.03.
1 41% · X 28% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.2%
1:0 12.8%
0:1 10.6%
0:0 10.3%
2:1 8.2%
2:0 7.9%
1:2 6.8%
0:2 5.5%
2:2 4.2%
3:1 3.4%
3:0 3.3%
1:3 2.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Stoke City Win
Probability 41%
Predicted Odds 2.44

Team Comparison

Stoke City Preston
17 League Position 14
55 Points 60
33% Win % 33%
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35

Venue Form

Stoke City at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Preston Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Stoke City
D W W D W
Preston
D D L L W

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