1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Stoke City an expected 1.2 goals and Bristol City an expected 1.1 goals. Stoke City have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Bristol City at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12%
0:1
11.3%
0:0
10.1%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
7%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
4.3%
3:1
3.1%
3:0
2.8%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Stoke City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Stoke City | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 12 |
| 55 | Points | 62 |
| 33% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Stoke City at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Bristol City Away
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Stoke City
D
W
W
L
L
Bristol City
D
L
W
L
D
