Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

0 – 2
Most Likely Score
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 · Ligue 1
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.82
xG Away 2.30
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Stade Brestois 29 an expected 0.8 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.3 goals. Stade Brestois 29 have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Paris Saint Germain at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 11.6%
0:1 10.1%
1:2 9.6%
0:3 8.9%
1:1 8.3%
1:3 7.4%
0:4 5.1%
0:0 4.4%
1:4 4.2%
2:2 3.9%
1:0 3.6%
2:1 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Paris Saint Germain Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41
Market Odds 1.5

Team Comparison

Stade Brestois 29 Paris Saint Germain
12 League Position 1
39 Points 76
29% Win % 71%
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85

Venue Form

Stade Brestois 29 at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Paris Saint Germain Away
W4 D0 L0 (4 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29
L L D W
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W