1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.82
xG Away
2.30
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Stade Brestois 29 an expected 0.8 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.3 goals. Stade Brestois 29 have a 12% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Paris Saint Germain at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
11.6%
0:1
10.1%
1:2
9.6%
0:3
8.9%
1:1
8.3%
1:3
7.4%
0:4
5.1%
0:0
4.4%
1:4
4.2%
2:2
3.9%
1:0
3.6%
2:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Stade Brestois 29 | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 1 |
| 39 | Points | 76 |
| 29% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Stade Brestois 29 at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Paris Saint Germain Away
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Stade Brestois 29
L
L
D
W
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
W