1
41%
Home Win
2.46
X
27%
Draw
3.75
2
33%
Away Win
3.06
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Louis City SC an expected 1.4 goals and Real Salt Lake an expected 1.2 goals. St. Louis City SC have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Real Salt Lake at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
10.7%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
8.6%
0:0
7.9%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
7.2%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
3.9%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Louis City SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| St. Louis City SC | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 9 |
| 32 | Points | 41 |
| 24% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
St. Louis City SC at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Real Salt Lake Away
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
St. Louis City SC
W
W
W
W
L
Real Salt Lake
L
L
L
L
W
Head to Head
St. Louis City
2 : 2
Real Salt Lake
D
Real Salt Lake
3 : 2
St. Louis City
L
St. Louis City
1 : 1
Real Salt Lake
D