St. Louis City SC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 41%
Home Win 2.46
X 27%
Draw 3.75
2 33%
Away Win 3.06
xG Home 1.35
xG Away 1.18
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Louis City SC an expected 1.4 goals and Real Salt Lake an expected 1.2 goals. St. Louis City SC have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Real Salt Lake at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.7%
1:0 10.7%
0:1 9.4%
2:1 8.6%
0:0 7.9%
1:2 7.5%
2:0 7.2%
0:2 5.6%
2:2 5.1%
3:1 3.9%
3:0 3.3%
1:3 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick St. Louis City SC Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

St. Louis City SC Real Salt Lake
13 League Position 9
32 Points 41
24% Win % 35%
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

St. Louis City SC at Home
W4 D0 L1 (5 games)
80% win rate
Real Salt Lake Away
W1 D0 L4 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

St. Louis City SC
W W W W L
Real Salt Lake
L L L L W

Head to Head

19 Oct 2025 Major League Soccer
St. Louis City 2 : 2 Real Salt Lake
D
06 Jul 2025 Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake 3 : 2 St. Louis City
L
05 Feb 2025 Friendlies Clubs
St. Louis City 1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
D