1
34%
Home Win
2.92
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
41%
Away Win
2.43
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting Kansas City an expected 1.4 goals and Portland Timbers an expected 1.5 goals. Sporting Kansas City have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Portland Timbers at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:2
8.8%
0:1
8.3%
2:1
7.9%
1:0
7.4%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
6.1%
0:0
5.4%
2:0
5.1%
1:3
4.5%
3:1
3.7%
0:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Portland Timbers Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting Kansas City | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 8 |
| 28 | Points | 44 |
| 21% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Sporting Kansas City at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Portland Timbers Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Sporting Kansas City
L
W
W
D
W
Portland Timbers
L
L
W
L
W
