Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 38%
Home Win 2.66
X 22%
Draw 4.52
2 40%
Away Win 2.48
xG Home 1.74
xG Away 1.81
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
BTTS 69%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Colorado Rapids an expected 1.7 goals and San Jose Earthquakes an expected 1.8 goals. Colorado Rapids have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and San Jose Earthquakes at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.1%
1:2 8.2%
2:1 7.9%
2:2 7.1%
0:1 5.2%
1:0 5%
1:3 4.9%
0:2 4.7%
3:1 4.6%
2:0 4.4%
2:3 4.3%
3:2 4.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

Colorado Rapids San Jose Earthquakes
11 League Position 10
41 Points 41
32% Win % 32%
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85

Venue Form

Colorado Rapids at Home
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate
San Jose Earthquakes Away
W3 D2 L2 (7 games)
43% win rate

Recent Form

Colorado Rapids
D W L L L
San Jose Earthquakes
W D L D W