1
62%
Home Win
1.61
X
21%
Draw
4.72
2
17%
Away Win
6.04
xG Home
1.97
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Minnesota United an expected 2.0 goals and Houston Dynamo an expected 0.9 goals. Minnesota United have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Houston Dynamo at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.2%
2:0
11%
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
7.2%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
5.7%
0:1
5.1%
1:2
4.5%
2:2
4.5%
4:0
3.5%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Minnesota United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Minnesota United | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 12 |
| 58 | Points | 37 |
| 47% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Minnesota United at Home
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Houston Dynamo Away
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Minnesota United
L
L
L
L
W
Houston Dynamo
L
L
W
L
W
