St. Louis City SC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 47%
Home Win 2.14
X 23%
Draw 4.39
2 30%
Away Win 3.28
xG Home 1.82
xG Away 1.43
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
BTTS 64%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Louis City SC an expected 1.8 goals and Los Angeles Galaxy an expected 1.4 goals. St. Louis City SC have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Los Angeles Galaxy at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.1%
2:1 9.2%
1:2 7.2%
1:0 7%
2:2 6.6%
2:0 6.4%
3:1 5.6%
0:1 5.5%
3:2 4%
0:2 4%
3:0 3.9%
0:0 3.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick St. Louis City SC Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Team Comparison

St. Louis City SC Los Angeles Galaxy
13 League Position 14
32 Points 30
24% Win % 21%
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94

Venue Form

St. Louis City SC at Home
W4 D0 L1 (5 games)
80% win rate
Los Angeles Galaxy Away
W2 D1 L3 (6 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

St. Louis City SC
W W W W L
Los Angeles Galaxy
W L L W L