1
47%
Home Win
2.14
X
23%
Draw
4.39
2
30%
Away Win
3.28
xG Home
1.82
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Louis City SC an expected 1.8 goals and Los Angeles Galaxy an expected 1.4 goals. St. Louis City SC have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Los Angeles Galaxy at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.2%
1:2
7.2%
1:0
7%
2:2
6.6%
2:0
6.4%
3:1
5.6%
0:1
5.5%
3:2
4%
0:2
4%
3:0
3.9%
0:0
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Louis City SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| St. Louis City SC | Los Angeles Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 14 |
| 32 | Points | 30 |
| 24% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
Venue Form
St. Louis City SC at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Los Angeles Galaxy Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
St. Louis City SC
W
W
W
W
L
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
L
L
W
L