1
22%
Home Win
4.63
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
55%
Away Win
1.83
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
1.72
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Rotterdam an expected 1.0 goals and Utrecht an expected 1.7 goals. Sparta Rotterdam have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Utrecht at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
11.5%
1:1
11.3%
0:2
9.9%
1:2
9.7%
0:0
6.7%
1:0
6.6%
0:3
5.7%
2:1
5.6%
1:3
5.6%
2:2
4.8%
2:0
3.3%
2:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Utrecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Rotterdam | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 53 |
| 35% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.62 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Sparta Rotterdam at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Utrecht Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
D
Utrecht
W
L
