1
45%
Home Win
2.25
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
32%
Away Win
3.16
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Rotterdam an expected 1.7 goals and PEC Zwolle an expected 1.4 goals. Sparta Rotterdam have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and PEC Zwolle at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.1%
1:0
7.9%
1:2
7.5%
2:0
6.6%
0:1
6.5%
2:2
6.3%
3:1
5.1%
0:0
4.8%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
3.7%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sparta Rotterdam Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Rotterdam | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 15 |
| 43 | Points | 37 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
Venue Form
Sparta Rotterdam at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
PEC Zwolle Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
D
PEC Zwolle
L
L
