1
27%
Home Win
3.73
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
50%
Away Win
2
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.78
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Rotterdam an expected 1.2 goals and Heerenveen an expected 1.8 goals. Sparta Rotterdam have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Heerenveen at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
1:2
9.6%
0:1
8.6%
0:2
7.7%
2:1
6.7%
1:0
6%
2:2
6%
1:3
5.7%
0:0
4.8%
0:3
4.6%
2:0
3.8%
2:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heerenveen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Rotterdam | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 8 |
| 43 | Points | 51 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
Sparta Rotterdam at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Heerenveen Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
D
Heerenveen
L
L
W
