Sparta Praha vs Zlin Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 31 Jul 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.63
xG Away 0.96
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Praha an expected 2.6 goals and Zlin an expected 1.0 goals. Sparta Praha have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Zlin at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 9.6%
2:1 9.2%
3:0 8.4%
3:1 8%
1:0 7.3%
1:1 7%
4:0 5.5%
4:1 5.3%
2:2 4.4%
3:2 3.8%
1:2 3.3%
0:0 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sparta Praha Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Sparta Praha Zlin
2 League Position 12
63 Points 34
63% Win % 30%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6

Venue Form

Sparta Praha at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Zlin Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Sparta Praha
W W W
Zlin
D L

Head to Head

08 Feb 2026 Czech Liga
Zlin 0 : 3 Sparta Praha
W
31 Aug 2025 Czech Liga
Sparta Praha 3 : 1 Zlin
L
26 Nov 2023 Czech Liga
Sparta Praha 2 : 0 Zlin
L