1
73%
Home Win
1.37
X
16%
Draw
6.43
2
11%
Away Win
8.81
xG Home
2.63
xG Away
0.96
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Praha an expected 2.6 goals and Zlin an expected 1.0 goals. Sparta Praha have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Zlin at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.6%
2:1
9.2%
3:0
8.4%
3:1
8%
1:0
7.3%
1:1
7%
4:0
5.5%
4:1
5.3%
2:2
4.4%
3:2
3.8%
1:2
3.3%
0:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sparta Praha Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 73% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.37 |
| Market Odds | 1.46 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Praha | Zlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 12 |
| 63 | Points | 34 |
| 63% | Win % | 30% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |