1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.10
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Plzen an expected 2.1 goals and Pardubice an expected 1.0 goals. Plzen have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Pardubice at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.9%
2:0
9.6%
1:1
9.5%
1:0
9.1%
3:1
6.9%
3:0
6.7%
2:2
5.2%
1:2
4.9%
0:1
4.5%
0:0
4.3%
4:1
3.6%
3:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Plzen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Plzen | Pardubice | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 8 |
| 53 | Points | 41 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Plzen at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Pardubice Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Plzen
L
L
Pardubice
W
W
D
L
